But I cracked the top one hundred predictors on GoldDerby‘s leaderboards for this year’s Golden Globes!* To be fair, I came in at #94, but that’s still pretty impressive – if I do say so myself – when you consider it was out of 5,892 voters, including people who do this shit for a living.

I managed this on a couple of my more ‘out-there’ predictions that turned out to be correct, such as Sam Mendes’ director win and Taron Egerton’s actor win. I wasn’t completely accurate – one of the main ‘out-there’ contrarian predictions that didn’t stick the landing was the idea that ‘Into the Unknown’ from Frozen II could take the Best Original Song award from Rocketman. That was a mistake. I also failed to foresee Missing Link‘s animated feature win, as well as Joker‘s best original score win.

The big category that screwed me and I imagine a lot of people over was Best Motion Picture – Drama. The majority of people that I saw predicted either The Irishman (which got no love from the HFPA) or Joker. Reasoning that the Globes usually choose smaller scale, quirky dramas, I took a swing and put Marriage Story in my number one spot. Like most of us, I was dead wrong. The movie I put in my number four spot (and, infuriatingly, the only one of those nominees that I hadn’t seen due to crappy Australian release dates) ended up taking the award: 1917.

Did tonight change my Oscar nomination predictions? Not that much. If anything, I’m much more confident now in my choice of Taron Egerton as a Best Actor nominee, and a lot less confident in The Irishman‘s ability to win Best Picture – I think this is Tarantino’s year.

How did your predictions go?

*It made sitting through Ricky Gervais’ painfully awkward ‘let’s see how controversial I can be’ speech worth it.